"Do Credences Represent Guesses?" Talk by Sophie Horowitz

Talk by Prof. Sophie Horowitz (UMass-Amherst) 

Wednesday, 24.5., 13.15-14.45 Hörsaal 3D NIG.

Do Credences Represent Guesses?
What are credences? Where do the numbers come from? Some have argued that they are brute and primitive; others, that they represent our dispositions to bet, or that they represent our comparative confidence judgments. I will explore a new answer to this question: credences represent our dispositions to guess. I will argue that we can think of credences this way, and then consider: should we?

For more about Prof. Horowitz' work, see here: https://people.umass.edu/shorowitz/